GOP delegate math

Received in email from McCain campaign today:

Last night, after our strong victories in Virginia, Maryland and Washington, DC, I put together an analysis of the state of the race for the Republican nomination. Including the delegates won last night, John McCain is now close to securing the number of delegates needed to be the presumptive Republican nominee. In addition, it is now mathematically impossible for Mike Huckabee to win enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination; there simply aren’t enough delegates left at stake for him to win. Take a look at the following chart:

Results based on AP reporting Current Delegate Count Remaining Delegates Needed for Nomination Available Delegates % Needed to Win
McCain Delegate Count 839 352 774 35%
Huckabee Delegate Count 241 950 123%

Comment: Why Huckabee stays in (for now)

  1. There's always the possibility of "the miracle" (his words not mine).
  2. He runs a very lean campaign financially, and his burn rate for funds is not high
  3. On the social agenda, he is more conservative than John McCain; and continuing his campaign continues that message
  4. He is careful to criticize McCain, so his continuing the campaign keeps McCain in the media eye and could actually be better for the GOP in the long run
  5. I suspect that he would have a hard time saying "no" to running with McCain as VP
  6. Staying positions Huckabee for 2012!

No comments:

Post a Comment

Any anonymous comments with links will be rejected. Please do not comment off-topic