Post-Election Riots & Protests and change.org

Thousands of anti-Trump protesters block I-94 in Minneapolis

Excerpt:

Several thousand anti-Trump protesters blocked Interstate 94 in Minneapolis for about an hour Thursday night, causing a major traffic backup in both directions. From about 8 to 9 p.m., throngs of protesters who had marched onto the heavily traveled road after a rally at the University of Minnesota chanted and hoisted signs, some of them sitting on the road, others locking arms and facing lines of police officers.

They eventually left the freeway via Cedar Avenue. The protest, while often angry, was peaceful. No one was hurt, and no one was arrested. It marked a second night of passionate rallies and marches in the Twin Cities and nationwide over the victory and views of U.S. president-elect Donald Trump.

In reaction, Trump tweeted Thursday night: “Just had a very open and successful presidential election. Now professional protesters, incited by the media, are protesting. Very unfair!”

Petition for Electoral College to Make Clinton President Tops 2m

Excerpt:

Petition, started Wednesday night, says Clinton won popular vote and electors not forced to select President-elect Donald Trump

Comments: Image snap of CNN & StarTrib

@business umm ... constitutional amendment! There's a process to change it and it's not .@Change . org https://t.co/qlveBvH5Ph pic.twitter.com/D1fa5H9B7K

— James Peet (@jrpeet) November 11, 2016

The left is concerned about a Trump presidency being volatile and damaging. So they riot and burn things.

— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) November 11, 2016

Why We Have an Electoral College https://t.co/GCu9IWkfrx pic.twitter.com/LEvTSYTMd4

— National Review (@NRO) November 13, 2016

Voter's Revenge: Obama's Policies and Legacy were on the Ballot

Sources here and here

Clinton and Obama got it right. Time to accept the results — and move on https://t.co/CTDbQQy176

— New York Post (@nypost) November 11, 2016

Trump Wins!

Big demographic and regional variations in where the polls missed tonight. pic.twitter.com/w0cD4to1BM

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 9, 2016

I'm honestly not sure if I'm joking or not.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 9, 2016

Comment: Boy was I wrong. [K & I went to bed at 11:30 ... just woke up to this news!]

#ElectionNight Explains Trump strength pic.twitter.com/hm6XQzLgXB

— James Peet (@jrpeet) November 9, 2016

"Blue Wall" and "Red Wall" and Election Night 2016

Some helpful history to remember on election night

Excerpts:

Tuesday evening, after Election Day's tranquility, new clamors will erupt as analysts with agendas tickle portents and lessons from the torrent of election returns. Herewith some developments to watch.

• In the 17 elections since World War II, the winner has averaged 385.4 electoral votes, the loser 145.1. In six elections (1952, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1980, 1984), a major-party candidate won fewer than 100. In the seven elections after 1984, no Democrat has received fewer than 111 (Michael Dukakis in 1988) and no Republican fewer than 159 (Bob Dole in 1996). Measure Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump accordingly.
• Republican nominees' popular-vote totals this century are: 2000 (George W. Bush) 50,455,156; 2004 (Bush) 62,040,610; 2008 (John McCain) 59,934,814; 2012 ( Mitt Romney) 60,932,152. Measure Trump's total accordingly, bearing in mind that there are 10 million more eligible voters in 2016 than in 2012 and nearly 20 million more than in 2008.
• In 2012, Romney's totals in 10 swing states were: Texas, 4,569,843 (57 percent); Florida, 4,163,447 (49 percent); Pennsylvania, 2,680,434 (47 percent); Ohio, 2,661,407 (48 percent); Michigan, 2,115,256 (45 percent); Virginia, 1,822,522 (47 percent); Arizona, 1,233,654 (54 percent); Colorado, 1,185,243 (46 percent); Nevada, 463,567 (46 percent); New Hampshire, 329,918 (47 percent). Use these numbers to measure Trump's success at enlarging the Republican electorate.
• The "blue wall" consists of 18 states and the District of Columbia (totaling 242 electoral votes) that have voted Democratic in at least six consecutive elections: California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington state, Wisconsin. Will Trump, who vowed to expand the battlefield, carry any of these?
• The Republicans' "red wall" (in at least six consecutive elections) consists of 13 states with 102 electoral votes: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Wyoming. Will Clinton come close to carrying Texas? Will she lose any age cohort there other than voters over 65?

Comment: I'll be tuning in but probably not until 9:00. This is not pro-Clinton, but I expect a big win for her.

The Blue Wall Crumbles https://t.co/7KdkgMDgOX pic.twitter.com/sFe8O9Ekjt

— National Review (@NRO) November 17, 2016

Poll Closing Times

Election night guide: battlegrounds to watch, top races and key times https://t.co/vj4UamLg61 🔓 #Election2016 pic.twitter.com/HupnaRbZQo

— Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) November 8, 2016

My take is that by 9:00 Central, we will know

Trump: "is a bridge too far" - Ian Bremmer

The GOP could've run a gym sock and beaten Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is a bridge too far.

— ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) November 8, 2016

Comment: A very flawed candidate. The GOP should have done better. Image source Ian Bremmer (I follow him on Twitter)

Hillary Clinton has outraised Donald Trump by $ 244 Million

From press conferences to ad spending: The 2016 race by the numbers https://t.co/fUGmVWknmD pic.twitter.com/bS6iQ284An

— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) November 8, 2016

Updated:

Final ad count: The number of pro-Clinton ads outnumbered pro-Trump ads by 3 to 1: https://t.co/t4Z7mB2ygz 🔓

— Capital Journal (@WSJPolitics) November 8, 2016

When will we know? 10 PM Central

Source

My prediction: Clinton 352 - Trump 186

So ... Read a book, stream a movie, and relax

More from the WSJ 

Toss-Up States in Play

These states (in gray) will determine the election

270toWin

More:

• Trump's electoral gap
• Top 10 Stats Explaining the Evangelical Vote

The GOP's “missing five million” white men

Trump Bets on the ‘Missing Five Million’ - Some say Republicans can win by turning out disaffected whites—but is it working?

Excerpt:

Mr. Trump and his managers assume that victory depends on turning out whites who did not vote for Mitt Romney in 2012. This theory holds that President Obama won re-election by 4.9 million votes only because five million whites stayed home, unenthused by Mr. Romney, who didn’t connect with them or wasn’t harsh enough on Mr. Obama.

On the surface, the “missing five million” sounds plausible. Although 129 million Americans—55% of the voting-age population—cast ballots in the 2012 presidential election, 106 million people didn’t. Among them, according to the website FiveThirtyEight, were 47 million whites without a college degree, including 24 million men.

Exit polls from 2012 show that Mr. Romney won 59% of white voters, and that whites constituted 72% of the turnout. The Trumpers say their man can win by boosting those figures only slightly. Increase the GOP’s share of the white vote a few points, say to 62%. Raise the white turnout to 74% or 75%. Voilà, President Trump.

Sen. Cruz and Mr. Trump hurled almost as much abuse at what they said were pusillanimous Republican leaders as they threw at Mr. Obama. Mr. Trump won the nomination by arguing that the “missing five million” would turn out for hard-line immigration policies, anti-trade rhetoric and a neo-isolationist foreign policy that put “America First.”

How’s that working out so far? The Trump camp’s first strategic premise—that he can do better among whites than Mr. Romney did—isn’t being borne out. The Oct. 17 poll from Fox News is representative: Among registered voters, Mr. Trump drew 49% of whites and Mrs. Clinton 38%. Other polls also show Mr. Trump lagging Mr. Romney’s performance among whites. Perhaps he could match or exceed it on Election Day if he converts virtually every undecided white voter, but that isn’t likely.

We can’t evaluate the second strategic premise—that Mr. Trump can increase the white turnout—until after the election. But recent history doesn’t suggest a dramatic increase in the offing. Exit polls show that whites were 81% of turnout in 2000; 77% in 2004; 74% in 2008; and 72% in 2012. The country is becoming more racially diverse. It will be nearly impossible for Mr. Trump to keep the white share flat, let alone increase it.

... If the “missing five million” fail to reappear, Republicans will have to find another road to political dominance and 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.

Comment: Image source. Too bad that Trump has turned off white women!

2016 Electoral Prediction

Notes:

• Change from last time. Ohio for Clinton / Georgia for Trump
• Source of Ohio poll
• 270toWin map
• Utah is trending to McMullin / also Deep-Red Utah Becomes and Election Wild-Card

Trump and women

Prediction: Clinton Landslide

My 270toWin Map

Comments: The best hope for Republicans:

• Hold the Senate (which is problematic)
• Retain the House (which is likely)
• Work with Clinton and 
• Regroup for 2020

2016 Campaign Issues

Not in order and not complete or fleshed out:

• Reinforce the sanctity of human life: I doubt abortion can be overturned in the near term, but to ignore the barbarism of abortion would be a mistake. Life: from the unborn to the invalid to the elderly ... life matters because men are in the image and likeness of God.
• Immigration reform: This has been kicked down the road for decades. The open border policy is wrong ... but I am against "a wall". I am not a Trumpite on this! 
• A reboot on our middle east policy. The Obama deal with Iran looks to be very bad: An Iran with nukes and missiles would be very bad for our allies and for us.
• Stop (obliterate) ISIS!
• Social security and Medicare reform
• Towards a balanced budget.
• Corporate tax reform (too high ... too complex)
• Personal income tax reform (too complex)
• Real health care reform ... not the unaffordable care act