Showing posts with label Bull Market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bull Market. Show all posts

3.09.2019

The Bull Market a Decade on ... Running with the Bull



The Bull Market Began 10 Years Ago.

Excerpt:

The financial system had nearly collapsed. The deepest recession in decades was devouring over 700,000 jobs a month. Roughly $13 trillion in stock market wealth, slowly rebuilt since the dot-com bust, had again been incinerated. It was March 2009. And it was one of the best times in a generation to buy stocks. A decade later, the bull market that began back then ranks among the great rallies in stock-market history. The 305 percent surge in the S&P 500 is the index’s second-best run ever. The rise has generated more than $30 trillion in wealth. Adjusted for inflation, that is the most created during any bull run on record, edging out the $25 trillion in gains during the epic streak from December 1987 to March 2000, which ended with the bursting of the dot-com bubble, according to Federal Reserve data.
Mark Haines Calls the Stock Market Bottom, March 10, 2009

Excerpt:

In this clip from the March 10, 2009 edition of CNBC's Squawk on the Street, the late Mark Haines tells Erin Burnett, "I think we're at a bottom. I really do." As the credit crisis continued to swirl, the Dow had closed the day before at 6,547.05, a staggering 54 percent plunge from its all-time closing high above 14,000 in October of 2007.

Mark Haines Calls the Stock Market Bottom, March 10, 2009 from CNBC.

2/20/2009 is the day I started individual investing. I called a broker and bought 1,000 shares of FITB for just above $ 1,000. I later sold for about $ 10,000.

From there:
  • I opened a Wells Trade account enabling me to have 100 free trades a year (I'm grandfathered into this deal ... no longer offered)
  • Shortly thereafter we paid our mortgage off and I began to invest $ 2,000 per month 
  • After a bit, we were at the point that we lived in one salary and invested the other
  • We continue to invest. Recently buying IBM and CSCO

11.22.2017

Bull Market Apogee Predicted - 2,863





Bank of America sees end of bull market coming in 2018

Excerpt:

Here's how it will happen:
  • Bank of America Merrill Lynch predicts "capitulation" for the bull market in 2018, with the S&P 500 peaking at 2,863.
  • Strategist Michael Hartnett said the firm is prepared to "downgrade risk aggressively" once it sees the triggers in place.
  • A shift from passive to active in investor allocations would be one of the signs that the rally is about over.

Comment: Sounds plausible. 2,863 is 10% above today's level. Chart top is from the data below.



   Milestone     Date Achieved 
1,6145/3/13
1,7078/1/13
1,805 11/22/13
1,901 5/23/14
2,000 8/26/14
2,100 2/17/15
2,203 11/22/16
2,308 2/9/17
2,402 5/15/17
2,500 9/15/17
2,594 11/22/17
2,863 8/15/18 (??)

3.09.2016

The Bull at Seven



Why this is the most untrusted bull market ever

 Excerpt (some nice charts in this article): (basically the S&P 500 has tripled!)

The bull market rally in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) that began on March 9, 2009 (when it touched the ominous 666) turned seven today, making it the second longest bull market since World War II.
Comment: Image source.


Comments: 
  • While we had been investing in our 401Ks, it was in 2008 or 2009 that we began investing extra in a brokerage account. One trade was 1000 shares of FITB at about $ 1, Later sold for $ 14. It was $ 1.24 on March 9th, 2009
  • I bought 100 shares of Ford on 7/15/09 for $ 6.92. Still have 80 of the 100.
  • In the Fall of 2008 or 2009,  we paid off our mortgage. That's when we began regularly buying stock outside of our retirement accounts.
  • Our retirement target was to be debt free, the S&P at 1500, and have a million invested. It did not work out exactly like that, but we are debt free with investments.




6.09.2014

Bull Market - 62 months and counting



We are about to enter the greatest bull market in 85 years

Excerpt:

At 62  months and counting, the S&P 500 index is this close to its longest bull run since 1994 to 2000. Should it continue rallying for just two months more, it will be the longest bull market run in over 85 years